Skip to your picks
Pure Hicks Analytics Picks ATS & Line Movement

Pure Hicks / NCAA pool intelligence

Picks ATSThe matchup board.

Read the market. Know the field. Choose your side.

Model Loading slate

Your local draft

Your picks cart 0 / 13

Expected wins this week0.00 / 0Selected picks · raw historical cover rates

Click a team name below to add it to your cart.

Click a team name to add it. Click it again to remove it.

Uses the sum of each selected team's historical cover rate shown below. These are raw frequencies, not calibrated forecasts or guaranteed wins. Pushes are not wins.

Autosaved in this browser only. Nothing is submitted to the pool.

Away left / Home right

Choose your side.

Model & settings

Pool win means covering the contest spread, not winning outright. Model odds use the saved market baseline; the latest Sportsbook lines and exact-line historical frequencies are shown separately under each team.

Loading Sportsbook.ag source snapshots…

About the percentages & closing lines

Projected Picks ATS is the estimated side share among entrants who choose that game. Game use is how often entrants are expected to choose the matchup at all. An entered pool percentage replaces the estimate.

Sportsbook SIDE % is the site's reported betting split, not your pool's ownership. Its ticket-versus-money basis and sample size are unspecified. A captured close is the last observed pregame quote within five minutes of kickoff; older observations are labeled last pregame.

Your draft · 0 / 13
Model, settings & historical research
Market Model baseline Aug 31 ESPN / DraftKings; latest Sportsbook odds below.
Pool Contest line The spread your pick must beat; it locks Sat at noon.
Move Pool minus market Positive means extra points for that team.
Pool win Chance of earning 1 point ATS probability, not straight-up win odds.

What 2025 entrants actually did

Rank effects in Picks ATS

These are pool-behavior signals only. They change projected Picks ATS and game use, never the chance a team covers.

Slate0games
Required13picks
History--graded games
2025 holdout--top 13 each week

Card settings

Choose the ranking

Ranks the slate strictly by the historical chance that each side covers the contest line.

Weekly lines

Load pool and market

Waiting

Model baseline: Splash pool lines and ESPN/DraftKings market lines captured Aug 31. Each game also shows the latest Sportsbook.ag odds and SIDE percentages below, with a timestamp and closing-line status.

Market line to pool line

Best pool-win odds

Expected score--vs field --
First-place equity--tie adjusted
Top-three chance--weekly simulation
Average pool win--model suggestions, not your draft
Waiting for a slate Load games to generate recommendations.

Exact historical line

How often did this pool line win?

For a 7-point favorite with a 6.5-point pool line, enter −7 and −6.5. A win by exactly 7 covers −6.5 but pushes −7.

Loading historical archive…

Uses the existing 2015–16 through 2024–25 historical closing-line archive, not Sportsbook-only history. The percentage is covers divided by all exact-line games, with pushes shown separately. No nearby lines, smoothing, or prior are included; this is not the model's forecast. Every matchup below also compares its latest Sportsbook line with its pool line.

2025 pool / 9,676 selections

Picks ATS model

Pool profiles

Entrant tendencies

CSV columns: entrant, team, favorite, ranked, ownership, priorPicked, priorCovered, repeatedTeam.

Import pool history to profile each entrant.

Backtest controls

What the model trusts

Line-movement odds

Secondary only

Rejected

Matchup context

Edit game

Away team
Home team