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Expected wins this week0.00 / 0Selected picks · raw historical cover rates
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Uses the sum of each selected team's historical cover rate shown below. These are raw frequencies, not calibrated forecasts or guaranteed wins. Pushes are not wins.
Autosaved in this browser only. Nothing is submitted to the pool.
Excluded picks — missing data or fewer than 40 exact-spread games
For your attention only. These games cannot enter automatic recommendations, even if their raw percentages are high.
Matchups
Pool cover means beating the contest spread, not winning outright. Rates are raw historical covers divided by all games at the exact Sportsbook spread, with no smoothing. Automatic suggestions require at least 40 instances and exclude started games and unavailable or stale markets.
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About the percentages & closing lines
Projected Picks ATS is the estimated side share among entrants who choose that game. Game use is how often entrants are expected to choose the matchup at all. An entered pool percentage replaces the estimate.
Sportsbook SIDE % is the site's reported betting split, not your pool's ownership. Its ticket-versus-money basis and sample size are unspecified. A captured close is the last observed pregame quote within five minutes of kickoff; older observations are labeled last pregame.
Model, settings & historical research
Rank effects in Picks ATS
These are pool-behavior signals only. They change projected Picks ATS and game use, never the chance a team covers.
Choose the ranking
Raw exact-spread covers divided by all matching games. Minimum 40 instances; no smoothing.
Load pool and market
Splash supplies the pool games, spreads and AP ranks. Sportsbook.ag supplies market spreads, prices and SIDE percentages. The board checks published snapshots every minute; source collection runs daily at 11 a.m. ET and Saturdays hourly 7–11 a.m. ET. Each source has its own verification timestamp. A stale week is never replaced by demo games.
Best pool-win odds
Waiting for a slate
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How often did this pool line win?
For a 7-point favorite with a 6.5-point pool line, enter −7 and −6.5. A win by exactly 7 covers −6.5 but pushes −7.
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Uses the existing 2015–16 through 2024–25 historical closing-line archive, not Sportsbook-only history. Covers are divided by all exact-line games, with pushes separate. No nearby lines, smoothing or prior. This same raw rate ranks recommendations, with at least 40 exact-spread games required.
Picks ATS model
Entrant tendencies
CSV columns: entrant, team, favorite, ranked, ownership, priorPicked, priorCovered, repeatedTeam.
Import pool history to profile each entrant.